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Neurology Clinical Trial Database

HOPE-3

Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation-3: Cholesterol Lowering in Intermediate-Risk Persons without Cardiovascular Disease

Year of Publication: 2016

Authors: S. Yusuf, J. Bosch, G. Dagenais, ..., for the HOPE-3 Investigators

Journal: New England Journal of Medicine

Citation: N Engl J Med 2016;374:2021-31. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1600176

PDF: https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa1600176


Clinical Question

Does rosuvastatin reduce cardiovascular events in intermediate-risk persons without cardiovascular disease, regardless of lipid levels, inflammatory markers, hypertension, or diabetes status?

Bottom Line

Rosuvastatin 10 mg daily significantly reduced cardiovascular events by 24-25% in an ethnically diverse, intermediate-risk population without cardiovascular disease, demonstrating benefit regardless of baseline lipid levels.

Major Points

  • Large international trial with 12,705 participants from 21 countries across 6 continents
  • 2x2 factorial design evaluating both cholesterol lowering and blood pressure lowering
  • Ethnically diverse population: 20% white, 49.1% Asian, 27.5% Hispanic, 3.3% black/other
  • Rosuvastatin reduced LDL cholesterol by 26.5% compared to placebo
  • First coprimary outcome reduced by 24% (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.64-0.91, p=0.002)
  • Second coprimary outcome reduced by 25% (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.64-0.88, p<0.001)
  • Benefits consistent across all ethnic groups and risk levels
  • Fixed-dose approach without routine monitoring was effective

Design

Study Type: Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Double-blind with patients, investigators, and others involved in treatment or data analysis masked to treatment allocation

Enrollment Period: April 2007 to November 2010

Follow-up Duration: Median 5.6 years

Centers: 228

Countries: Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Poland, Czech Republic, Russia, India, China, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Brazil, Colombia, Argentina, Canada, USA, Australia, South Africa, Ukraine, Israel

Sample Size: 12705

Analysis: Intention-to-treat analysis using Cox proportional-hazards model stratified according to the opposite group of the factorial design


Inclusion Criteria

  • Men ≥55 years and women ≥65 years with at least one cardiovascular risk factor
  • Women ≥60 years with at least two cardiovascular risk factors
  • Risk factors: elevated waist-to-hip ratio, history of low HDL cholesterol, current/recent tobacco use, dysglycemia, family history of premature coronary disease, mild renal dysfunction
  • No cardiovascular disease at baseline
  • Intermediate risk (defined as annual risk of major cardiovascular events of approximately 1%)

Exclusion Criteria

  • Cardiovascular disease
  • Indication for or contraindication to statins
  • Indication for or contraindication to angiotensin-receptor blockers, ACE inhibitors, or thiazide diuretics
  • Trial did not mandate specific lipid or blood pressure levels for entry

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicControlActive
Mean age65.7 years65.8 years
Female46.1%46.4%
Elevated waist-to-hip ratio86.6%87.1%
Current/recent smoking28.1%27.4%
Low HDL cholesterol35.4%36.8%
Impaired glucose tolerance/diabetes18.3%18.6%
Family history premature CHD26.2%26.3%
Hypertension38.0%37.8%
Mean LDL cholesterol127.9 mg/dL127.8 mg/dL
Mean total cholesterol201.3 mg/dL201.5 mg/dL
INTERHEART Risk Score14.414.5

Arms

FieldRosuvastatin groupControl
InterventionRosuvastatin 10 mg once daily (fixed dose without adjustment or lipid targets)Matched placebo tablets once daily
DurationMedian 5.6 yearsMedian 5.6 years

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
First coprimary outcome: composite of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal strokePrimary304/6344 (4.8%)235/6361 (3.7%)0.760.002
Second coprimary outcome (first coprimary + resuscitation, heart failure, revascularization)Secondary363/6344 (5.7%)277/6361 (4.4%)0.75<0.001
Stroke (fatal or nonfatal)Secondary99/6344 (1.6%)70/6361 (1.1%)0.70.02
Myocardial infarction (fatal or nonfatal)Secondary69/6344 (1.1%)45/6361 (0.7%)0.650.02
Death from cardiovascular causesSecondary171/6344 (2.7%)154/6361 (2.4%)0.89Not significant
Death from any causeSecondary357/6344 (5.6%)334/6361 (5.3%)0.930.32
Muscle symptomsAdverse296/6344 (4.7%)367/6361 (5.8%)0.005
Cataract surgeryAdverse194/6344 (3.1%)241/6361 (3.8%)0.02
New-onset diabetesAdverse226/6344 (3.8%)232/6361 (3.9%)1.020.82
CancerAdverse286 cases267 casesNot significant

Subgroup Analysis

Benefits of rosuvastatin were consistent across subgroups defined by cardiovascular risk, LDL cholesterol level, blood pressure, C-reactive protein level, age, sex, and race/ethnic group. Particularly notable benefit demonstrated in Chinese, other Asian, and Hispanic populations.


Criticisms

  • 2x2 factorial design makes it complex to isolate effects of cholesterol lowering alone
  • Adherence declined over time (75.5% at 5 years vs 88.0% at 1 year)
  • Some participants in placebo group initiated open-label statins (5.6% at 5 years)
  • Muscle symptoms were more common with rosuvastatin
  • Increased risk of cataract surgery not previously reported in trials
  • Relatively short follow-up may underestimate long-term benefits and risks

Funding

Canadian Institutes of Health Research and AstraZeneca

Based on: HOPE-3 (New England Journal of Medicine, 2016)

Authors: S. Yusuf, J. Bosch, G. Dagenais, ..., for the HOPE-3 Investigators

Citation: N Engl J Med 2016;374:2021-31. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1600176

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