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INTERSTROKE

Tea and coffee consumption and risk of acute stroke: The INTERSTROKE Study

Year of Publication: 2024

Authors: Andrew Smyth, Graeme J Hankey, Peter Langhorne, ..., Martin O’Donnell

Journal: International Journal of Stroke

Citation: Int J Stroke. 2024;19(9):1053–1063. doi:10.1177/17474930241264685

Link: https://doi.org/10.1177/17474930241264685

PDF: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10...474930241264685


Clinical Question

Does the consumption of tea or coffee affect the risk of first stroke?

Bottom Line

High coffee intake (>4 cups/day) was associated with increased odds of all stroke and ischemic stroke, while tea consumption (including black, green, and other tea types) was associated with reduced odds of stroke.

Major Points

  • INTERSTROKE is a large, international case–control study of 26,950 participants (13,462 cases, 13,488 controls) from 32 countries across 142 centers — the largest study of tea/coffee and stroke risk to date.
  • High coffee consumption (>4 cups/day) was associated with increased odds of all stroke (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.06–1.77) and ischemic stroke (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.00–1.74), contrasting with prospective cohort studies that mostly show coffee as protective — likely reflecting case-control design limitations.
  • Low-to-moderate coffee intake (1–4 cups/day) showed no significant association with stroke risk, suggesting a threshold effect rather than linear dose-response.
  • Tea consumption (any type, ≥4 cups/day) was associated with reduced odds of all stroke (OR 0.81) and ischemic stroke, with the strongest effect at 3–4 cups/day — consistent with polyphenol/catechin-mediated endothelial protection.
  • Black tea intake (3–4 cups/day) showed a striking protective effect against ICH (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.22–0.78), though based on relatively few ICH events and requiring confirmation.
  • Green tea (≥4 cups/day) was associated with reduced odds of all stroke (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.52–0.94), consistent with prior Asian cohort data from the JPHC and Shanghai Women's Health studies.
  • Marked regional heterogeneity: tea was protective in China and South America but paradoxically increased stroke risk in South Asia — likely reflecting confounding by preparation method, additives (sugar, milk), and co-consumed foods.
  • Milk addition modified the tea-stroke association: tea without milk was protective, while tea with milk showed attenuated benefit, possibly through casein binding of catechins.
  • The study is a subanalysis of the landmark INTERSTROKE study (O'Donnell et al., Lancet 2010/2016) which identified 10 modifiable risk factors accounting for 90% of stroke risk globally.
  • Hypertension modified the coffee-stroke association: the harmful effect of high coffee consumption was more pronounced in hypertensive individuals, consistent with the acute pressor effect of caffeine.

Design

Study Type: International matched case–control study

Randomization:

Enrollment Period: March 2007 – July 2015

Centers: 142

Countries: Canada, Ireland, Australia, UK, Poland, Sweden, India, USA, China, Colombia, Ecuador, Mozambique, Denmark, Chile, and others

Sample Size: 26950

Analysis: Multivariable conditional logistic regression with adjustment for demographic, clinical, and dietary variables, and beverage interactions


Inclusion Criteria

  • Adults with first acute stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) presenting within 5 days of symptom onset and admitted within 3 days of hospital presentation
  • Community-based controls matched by age (±5 years), sex, and study site without history of stroke
  • Confirmed stroke diagnosis by clinical assessment and neuroimaging (CT or MRI)
  • Ability to provide informed consent (or consent from surrogate if aphasic/obtunded)
  • Dietary intake data available from structured questionnaire including tea and coffee consumption

Exclusion Criteria

  • Patients with recurrent stroke (only first-ever events included)
  • Controls with hospital referral or diagnosis related to stroke or TIA
  • Participants unable to complete dietary questionnaire due to severe aphasia or cognitive impairment without surrogate
  • Stroke mimics (non-vascular diagnoses identified after enrollment)
  • Missing data on tea and coffee consumption variables
  • Controls with prior stroke or TIA identified during screening

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicControlActive
Age (mean)61.7 (13.4)63.4 (13.6)
Female (%)40.4%41.0%
Education <8 years48.3%26.1%
BMI25.7 (4.8)27.1 (4.9)
WHR0.93 (0.08)0.94 (0.08)
Hypertension61.4%64.0%
Diabetes25.0%26.1%
Cardiac risk factors9.5%15.8%
Myocardial infarction3.5%6.7%
Atrial fibrillation3.2%6.1%

Arms

FieldHigh coffee consumptionControl
Intervention>4 cups/day of coffee0–2 cups/day of coffee
DurationHabitual intake (self-reported)Habitual intake (self-reported)

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Association of tea and coffee consumption with risk of all stroke and ischemic strokePrimaryNo coffee: Reference groupHigh coffee: OR 1.37 for all stroke, OR 1.32 for ischemic stroke
All tea (≥4 cups/day)SecondaryNo teaOR 0.81 for all stroke0.81
Black tea (3–4 cups/day)SecondaryNo teaOR 0.41 for ICH0.41
Green tea (≥4 cups/day)SecondaryNo teaOR 0.70 for all stroke0.70

Criticisms

  • Case-control design is inherently susceptible to recall bias — stroke patients may recall dietary habits differently from controls, and hospitalized cases may have altered intake patterns preceding the event.
  • Self-reported intake measured at a single time point may not reflect long-term cumulative exposure or recent changes in consumption patterns before stroke.
  • No data on coffee preparation method (filtered vs unfiltered/boiled), roast type, or decaffeination — diterpenes in unfiltered coffee have different cardiovascular effects than filtered.
  • Limited power for ICH subgroup analyses — the striking black tea OR 0.41 for ICH was based on few events and had wide confidence intervals (0.22–0.78).
  • Potential for residual confounding despite multivariable adjustment — tea and coffee consumption correlates with socioeconomic status, diet quality, exercise, and healthcare access differently across regions.
  • Cup size was not standardized across 32 countries — a 'cup' in Scandinavia (~250 mL) differs substantially from espresso cultures (~30–60 mL), introducing measurement heterogeneity.
  • Contradicts large prospective cohort studies (Nurses' Health Study, Health Professionals Follow-up Study) showing coffee as protective — case-control design and reverse causation may explain this discrepancy.
  • Regional heterogeneity in tea-stroke associations (protective in China, harmful in South Asia) likely reflects unmeasured confounding by preparation method and additives rather than a true biological interaction.
  • No biomarker validation of self-reported intake — caffeine metabolites or polyphenol biomarkers would strengthen causal inference but were not measured.

Funding

Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Heart and Stroke Foundation (Canada), AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim (Canada), Pfizer (Canada), MSD, and others.

Based on: INTERSTROKE (International Journal of Stroke, 2024)

Authors: Andrew Smyth, Graeme J Hankey, Peter Langhorne, ..., Martin O’Donnell

Citation: Int J Stroke. 2024;19(9):1053–1063. doi:10.1177/17474930241264685

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