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PROGRESS

Randomised trial of a perindopril-based blood-pressure-lowering regimen among 6105 individuals with previous stroke or transient ischaemic attack

Year of Publication: 2001

Authors: MacMahon S, Neal B, Tzourio C, et al; PROGRESS Collaborative Group

Journal: The Lancet

Citation: Lancet 2001;358(9287):1033-1041. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(01)06178-5

Link: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(01)06178-5


Clinical Question

Does a perindopril-based blood-pressure-lowering regimen (with optional indapamide) reduce recurrent stroke and major vascular events in patients with previous stroke or TIA, regardless of baseline blood pressure?

Bottom Line

In 6105 patients with prior stroke or TIA, active BP-lowering with perindopril ± indapamide cut recurrent stroke by 28% (95% CI 17-38, p<0.0001) and major vascular events by 26% over 3.9 years, with benefit in both hypertensive and non-hypertensive patients. The effect was driven by combination therapy (BP -12/5 mm Hg, stroke RRR 43%); perindopril monotherapy (BP -5/3 mm Hg) showed no discernible stroke reduction. Combination perindopril + indapamide should be considered routinely after stroke/TIA irrespective of blood pressure.

Major Points

  • Randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in 6105 adults with stroke/TIA within prior 5 years, 172 centres, 10 countries (Asia, Australasia, Europe); mean follow-up 3.9 years.
  • Active treatment: perindopril 4 mg daily, with indapamide 2.5 mg (2.0 mg in Japan) added at physician discretion (58% received combination, 42% monotherapy); 4-week open-label perindopril run-in before randomisation.
  • Overall BP reduction 9/4 mm Hg (combination 12/5; monotherapy 5/3), maintained throughout follow-up.
  • Primary outcome (total stroke): 307/3051 (10%) active vs 420/3054 (14%) placebo; RRR 28% (95% CI 17-38), p<0.0001; annual rate 2.7% vs 3.8%.
  • Major vascular events (composite non-fatal stroke, non-fatal MI, or vascular death): 458 (15%) vs 604 (20%); RRR 26% (95% CI 16-34); major coronary events RRR 26% (6-42).
  • Prespecified subgroup: combination therapy reduced stroke 43% (30-54) vs double placebo; single-drug therapy showed no discernible stroke reduction (p-homogeneity <0.001).
  • With combination therapy vs double placebo: fatal/disabling stroke 60/1770 vs 110/1774 (RRR 46%, 27-61); ischaemic stroke RRR 36% (19-49); cerebral haemorrhage 12 vs 49 (RRR 76%, 55-87).
  • Benefit in hypertensive (48%) and non-hypertensive participants was similar (p-homogeneity 0.7); non-hypertensives had mean baseline BP 136/79 mm Hg.
  • Safety: only 2% higher discontinuation on active vs placebo (23% vs 21%, p=0.02); 3 non-fatal angio-oedema cases on active during double-blind phase; no difference in total mortality (625 deaths).
  • Absolute benefit: 5 years of combination therapy prevented one fatal or major non-fatal vascular event per 11 patients treated (95% CI 9-16).

Design

Study Type: Randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial (with 4-week open-label perindopril run-in)

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Double-blind (participants and investigators); allocation via central computer-based randomisation service (telephone/fax), stratified by planned combination vs single-drug regimen, centre, age, sex, entry systolic BP, and qualifying event

Enrollment Period: Not explicitly stated in main paper (published 29 September 2001)

Follow-up Duration: Mean 3.9 years (11,893 patient-years active; 11,889 patient-years placebo)

Centers: 172

Countries: Australia, New Zealand, China, France, Belgium, Italy, Japan, Sweden, United Kingdom, Ireland

Sample Size: 6105

Power Calculation: Assumed control stroke rate 1.5-2.0%/year, mean diastolic BP difference 4 mm Hg, projected 30% stroke reduction; N=6000 gave ≥90% power at α=0.05

Analysis: Intention-to-treat; Cox proportional-hazards models (unadjusted) for primary/secondary endpoints; Kaplan-Meier cumulative event curves; linear mixed models for BP; homogeneity of subgroup effects tested by interaction terms; two prespecified subgroups (combination vs single-drug therapy; hypertensive vs non-hypertensive)


Inclusion Criteria

  • History of stroke (focal neurological deficit lasting >24 h due to intracerebral haemorrhage or ischaemia) or TIA (focal neurological or monocular deficit <24 h from arterioembolic/thrombotic disease) within the previous 5 years
  • No definite indication for an ACE inhibitor (e.g., heart failure) in the responsible physician's opinion
  • No definite contraindication to an ACE inhibitor (e.g., previous intolerance)
  • Clinically stable for at least 2 weeks after the most recent vascular event (recommended)
  • Successful completion of and adherence to a 4-week open-label perindopril run-in (2 mg daily × 2 weeks then 4 mg daily × 2 weeks)
  • No blood pressure entry threshold (both hypertensive and non-hypertensive patients eligible)

Exclusion Criteria

  • Definite indication for an ACE inhibitor (e.g., heart failure)
  • Definite contraindication to an ACE inhibitor (e.g., prior intolerance)
  • Uncontrolled hypertension not managed with non-ACE-inhibitor agents before entry
  • Withdrawal during the 4-week active run-in for intolerance (dizziness/hypotension 3.4%, cough 2.7%, other suspected intolerance 2.3%, participant decision 2.0%)
  • One case of non-fatal angio-oedema during run-in was documented and excluded

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicActive (n=3051)Placebo (n=3054)
Mean (SD) age (years)64 (10)64 (10)
Women n (%)923 (30%)929 (30%)
Asian n (%)1176 (39%)1176 (39%)
Previous ischaemic stroke n (%)2157 (71%)2153 (71%)
Cerebral haemorrhage n (%)332 (11%)328 (11%)
Unknown stroke n (%)134 (4%)148 (5%)
TIA or amaurosis fugax n (%)681 (22%)689 (22%)
Median (IQR) time since qualifying event (months)8 (2-21)8 (2-22)
Current smoker n (%)606 (20%)614 (20%)
Diabetes n (%)394 (13%)368 (12%)
Coronary heart disease n (%)493 (16%)490 (16%)
Mean (SD) systolic BP (mm Hg)147 (19)147 (19)
Mean (SD) diastolic BP (mm Hg)86 (11)86 (11)
Hypertension (SBP≥160 or DBP≥90) n (%)1464 (48%)1452 (48%)
On antihypertensive therapy n (%)1510 (50%)1554 (51%)

Arms

FieldActive — perindopril ± indapamideControl
InterventionPerindopril 4 mg daily; indapamide 2.5 mg daily (2.0 mg in Japan) added at physician discretion (58% combination, 42% monotherapy)Matching placebo tablets (double placebo in those planned for combination, single placebo in those planned for monotherapy)
N30513054

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Total stroke (fatal or non-fatal): acute focal neurological deficit lasting >24 h (or causing earlier death) due to cerebral infarction or haemorrhage, over mean 3.9 years follow-upPrimary420/3054 (14%); annual rate 3.8%307/3051 (10%); annual rate 2.7%<0.0001
Total major vascular events (non-fatal stroke, non-fatal MI, or vascular death)Secondary604/3054 (20%); 5.5%/yr458/3051 (15%); 4.1%/yr
Total major coronary events (non-fatal MI or coronary death)Secondary154115
Hospital admissions during follow-upSecondary1349 (44%)1252 (41%)
Blood pressure reduction (systolic/diastolic, mm Hg vs placebo)SecondaryReference−9.0/−4.0 overall (SE 0.3/0.2); combination −12.3/−5.0; monotherapy −4.9/−2.8
Combination therapy vs double placebo — total strokeSecondarySee belowNot separately tabulated (see below)
Combination — fatal or disabling strokeSecondary110/177460/1770
Combination — ischaemic strokeSecondary191126
Combination — cerebral haemorrhageSecondary4912
Combination — non-fatal strokeSecondary232138
Combination — non-fatal MISecondary5834
Combination — vascular deathSecondary12188
Combination — total major coronary eventsSecondary10267
Single-drug perindopril vs single placebo — total strokeSecondaryReferenceNot discernibly different from placebo
Permanent discontinuation of all study tabletsSafety636/3054 (21%)714/3051 (23%)0.02
Discontinuation for coughSafety69 (as reported)47 (2.2%)
Discontinuation for hypotensionSafety29 (0.9%)64 (2.1%)
Discontinuation for heart failure requiring ACE inhibitor/diureticSafety69 (2.3%)47 (2.2%)
Angio-oedema during double-blind follow-upSafety03 (all on perindopril; none fatal or intubated)
Total deathsSafetyPart of 625 totalPart of 625 total (no significant difference)
Vascular deathsSafetyPart of 379 vascular deathsPart of 379 vascular deaths (no significant difference)

Subgroup Analysis

Two prespecified subgroups. (1) Combination therapy (perindopril + indapamide) vs single-drug therapy: significant heterogeneity (p<0.001) — combination reduced stroke 43% (30-54); monotherapy showed no discernible reduction. (2) Hypertensive (SBP≥160/DBP≥90; n=2916, 48%) vs non-hypertensive: similar stroke and major vascular event reductions (p-homogeneity 0.7 and 0.6). No heterogeneity by qualifying event type (ischaemic vs haemorrhagic), time since event (<6 mo vs 6 mo-5 yr), or geographic region (Asia vs elsewhere; all p-homogeneity >0.1).


Criticisms

  • Assignment to combination vs single-drug therapy was NOT randomised — the choice was made by the treating physician before randomisation, so heterogeneity between combination and monotherapy effects could reflect patient selection despite modest baseline differences and lack of adjustment sensitivity.
  • Perindopril-alone (5/3 mm Hg BP fall) group produced no discernible stroke reduction; the interpretation that benefit is 'purely a BP effect' is inferred, not directly randomised.
  • Open-label 4-week perindopril run-in with exclusion of 14% of registered patients for intolerance limits generalisability to less selected populations (survivor/tolerance bias).
  • No blood pressure entry threshold means findings extend to non-hypertensives, but non-hypertensives had a lower absolute event rate and thus smaller absolute benefit.
  • Mean age 64 (SD 10); relatively few patients over 75; limited data for very elderly or high-frailty populations.
  • 39% Asian recruitment (large China/Japan cohorts) — informative but analyses show consistency between Asian and non-Asian participants.
  • Effect on major coronary events (26% RRR) may be over-estimated; confidence interval wide (6-42) and larger than predicted from BP change alone.
  • Study drug was single-fixed-dose perindopril; results may not generalise to other ACE inhibitors or to different doses/regimens.
  • No formal individual-patient BP target; the 'active' arm's benefit reflects mean BP reduction rather than a treat-to-target strategy.
  • Funded in part by Servier (manufacturer of perindopril/indapamide), though authors state independence in design, conduct, and analysis.

Funding

Grants from Servier (manufacturer of perindopril and indapamide), the Health Research Council of New Zealand, and the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia. The study was designed, conducted, analysed, and interpreted by the investigators independently of all sponsors.

Based on: PROGRESS (The Lancet, 2001)

Authors: MacMahon S, Neal B, Tzourio C, et al; PROGRESS Collaborative Group

Citation: Lancet 2001;358(9287):1033-1041. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(01)06178-5

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