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Neurology Clinical Trial Database

STROKE-AF

Stroke of Known Cause and Underlying Atrial Fibrillation

Year of Publication: 2021

Authors: Richard A. Bernstein, Hooman Kamel, Christopher B. Granger, ..., for the STROKE-AF Investigators

Journal: JAMA

Citation: JAMA. 2021;325(21):2169-2177

Link: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02700945


Clinical Question

Is long-term cardiac monitoring with an insertable cardiac monitor more effective than usual care for detecting atrial fibrillation in patients with ischemic stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease?

Bottom Line

In patients with non-cryptogenic ischemic stroke attributed to large- or small-vessel disease, ICM monitoring detected significantly more atrial fibrillation than usual care at 12 months (12.1% vs 1.8%, HR 7.4). Nearly all detected AF episodes (96%) were asymptomatic. However, the clinical importance of detecting AF in this population remains uncertain.

Major Points

  • At 12 months, AF was detected in 12.1% of ICM patients vs 1.8% of controls (HR 7.4, 95% CI 2.6-21.3, P<0.001)
  • At 6 months, AF was detected in 7.9% of ICM patients vs 0.8% of controls (HR 9.9, 95% CI 2.3-43.5, P=0.002)
  • 96.3% of first AF episodes detected in the ICM group were asymptomatic (26 of 27 patients)
  • Only 6 patients (2.6%) had AF detected in the first 30 days, meaning 78% of AF detected at 12 months would have been missed by 30 days of continuous monitoring
  • AF detection rates were similar in large-vessel (11.7%) vs small-vessel (12.6%) stroke subtypes (P=0.74)
  • Median duration of longest AF episode was 88 minutes (IQR 10-526 minutes); 55.5% had episodes >1 hour
  • OAC prescription at 12 months was higher in ICM group: 15.7% vs 5.6% (OR 3.1, P<0.001)
  • Recurrent stroke rates were numerically lower in ICM group: 7.2% vs 9.5% (HR 0.7, P=0.30), but study was not powered for this endpoint

Design

Study Type: Randomized controlled trial, multicenter, parallel-group, open-label

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Open-label; patients, physicians, and clinical events committee were not blinded to randomization assignment due to nature of intervention. However, aggregate efficacy results remained blinded until completion of primary endpoint analysis.

Enrollment Period: April 2016 to July 2019

Follow-up Duration: Primary endpoint at 12 months; planned follow-up up to 36 months

Centers: 33

Countries: United States

Sample Size: 492

Analysis: Intention-to-treat analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates with Cox proportional hazards regression for hazard ratios. Log-rank test for between-group comparisons. Mixed-effects model for site effects. SAS version 9.4 and R version 3.6.0.


Inclusion Criteria

  • Age ≥60 years, or age 50-59 years with at least 1 additional stroke risk factor (congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, prior ischemic stroke >90 days before index stroke, or other ischemic vascular disease)
  • Index ischemic stroke attributed to large-artery atherosclerosis (large-vessel disease) or small-vessel occlusion (small-vessel disease) per TOAST criteria
  • Index stroke within 10 days prior to ICM insertion
  • TOAST classification assigned by enrolling investigator as used in clinical practice

Exclusion Criteria

  • Cryptogenic stroke or embolic stroke of undetermined source
  • Cardioembolic stroke
  • History of documented atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter
  • Known indication or contraindication for long-term oral anticoagulation
  • Untreated hyperthyroidism
  • Myocardial infarction or cardiac surgery less than 1 month prior to index stroke
  • Mechanical heart valve or valvular disease requiring immediate surgery

Arms

FieldControlICM
InterventionSite-specific usual care consisting of external cardiac monitoring such as 12-lead ECGs, Holter monitoring, telemetry, or event recorders at treating physician discretion. Follow-up visits at 1, 6, and 12 months.Insertable cardiac monitor (REVEAL LINQ, Medtronic) inserted within 10 days of index stroke and after randomization. Device insertion per site standard procedures. ICMs programmed according to standardized requirements. Follow-up visits at device insertion, 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months.
Duration12 months (primary); up to 36 months planned12 months (primary); up to 36 months or end of ICM battery life

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Time to first detection of atrial fibrillation (episode of irregular heart rhythm without detectable P waves lasting >30 seconds, adjudicated by clinical events committee) through 12 monthsPrimary1.8% (4 patients)12.1% (27 patients)7.4<0.001
AF detection at 6 monthsSecondary0.8% (2 patients)7.9% (18 patients)9.90.002
AF detection in large-vessel disease subgroup at 12 monthsSecondary2.3% (3 patients)11.7% (15 patients)5.3<0.001
AF detection in small-vessel disease subgroup at 12 monthsSecondary1.0% (1 patient)12.6% (12 patients)13.8<0.001
OAC prescription at 12 monthsSecondary5.6% (14 patients)15.7% (38 patients)3.1<0.001
OAC prescription among patients with detected AFSecondary1.2% (3 patients)7.4% (18 patients)6.6<0.001
Recurrent ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke at 12 monthsSecondary9.5% (23 patients)7.2% (16 patients)0.70.30
Recurrent TIA at 12 monthsSecondary0.4% (1 patient)1.8% (4 patients)4.10.21
Asymptomatic first AF episode (ICM group)SecondaryN/A96.3% (26/27 patients)
ICM procedure-related adverse events (total)AdverseN/A1.8% (4/221 patients)
Site infectionAdverseN/A0.5% (1 patient)
Incision site hemorrhageAdverseN/A0.9% (2 patients)
Implant site painAdverseN/A0.5% (1 patient)
Death through 12 monthsAdverse5 patients12 patients

Subgroup Analysis

A Cox model including interaction term between stroke subtype and randomization group showed no significant interaction (P=0.42). The group effect remained significant (P=0.009) while stroke subtype was not significant (P=0.46). AF detection was similar in large-vessel (11.7%) vs small-vessel (12.6%) stroke in the ICM group (HR 0.9, 95% CI 0.4-1.9, P=0.74). Mixed-effects model treating study site as random effect showed site effect was not significant (P=0.10).


Criticisms

  • Open-label design with no blinding of patients, physicians, or clinical events committee to randomization assignment
  • Attribution of stroke mechanism is subjective and may have enrolled patients at higher risk of underlying embolism
  • Cannot determine if AF was related to the stroke, unmasked by it, or coexistent background AF that would be detected without stroke
  • Study not powered to detect differences in clinical outcomes such as recurrent stroke
  • Higher frequency of congestive heart failure among patients with incomplete follow-up may have underestimated true AF incidence
  • ICM detection algorithm requires episodes ≥2 minutes, while primary endpoint defined AF as >30 seconds
  • ECG monitoring in control group was variable and limited, reflecting real-world practice but reducing AF detection sensitivity
  • TOAST classifications applied per clinical practice may have greater interrater variation than validated algorithms
  • No comparator group without stroke to establish background AF incidence
  • Study cannot make conclusions about clinical value of testing without clinical outcome data

Funding

Medtronic Inc

Based on: STROKE-AF (JAMA, 2021)

Authors: Richard A. Bernstein, Hooman Kamel, Christopher B. Granger, ..., for the STROKE-AF Investigators

Citation: JAMA. 2021;325(21):2169-2177

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