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TEMPO-2 Recanalization

Association of Successful Recanalization and Functional Outcomes in Minor Ischemic Stroke With Proven Occlusion: A Secondary Analysis of TEMPO-2 Trial

Year of Publication: 2026

Authors: Nishita Singh, Daniel Strbian, Shabnam Vatanpour, ..., Shelagh B. Coutts et al.

Journal: Stroke

Citation: Stroke. Published online June 19, 2026. doi:10.1161/STROKEAHA.125.052872

Link: https://doi.org/10.1161/STROKEAHA.125.052872

Bottom Line

Early successful recanalization independently predicts better 90-day functional outcomes in minor ischemic stroke with proven occlusion (adjusted RR 1.21), and intravenous tenecteplase is the strongest predictor of achieving recanalization (OR 3.48), although only a minority (23.6%) of tenecteplase-treated patients recanalized and treatment-level differences in 90-day outcomes were not statistically significant.

Major Points

  • Post hoc analysis of TEMPO-2 (NCT02398656): 517 of 886 randomized patients had baseline CTA occlusion plus 4–8 hour follow-up CTA and were included.
  • Successful recanalization (rAOL ≥2b/3) occurred in 178 (34.6%); much higher with tenecteplase than standard care (68.5% vs 39.9% within the follow-up CTA cohort; overall 23.6% vs 10.8% of randomized arms).
  • Primary outcome — return to baseline mRS at 90 days — was met by 80.3% with recanalization vs 66.4% without (adjusted RR 1.21, 95% CI 1.09–1.34), consistent across mRS 0–1, mRS 0–2, and NIHSS 0 at day 5 endpoints.
  • Recanalization was associated with much lower stroke progression (2.8% vs 13.1%, adjusted RR 0.21, 95% CI 0.08–0.52) and fewer SAEs (15.2% vs 28.0%, RR 0.54), without a signal of increased sICH.
  • Multivariable predictors of successful recanalization: tenecteplase (OR 3.48, 95% CI 2.33–5.18), against lower odds with resolved symptoms at treatment (OR 0.50) and prior stroke (OR 0.55); age, sex, NIHSS, ASPECTS, LVO status, and comorbidities were not significant.
  • Successful recanalization was itself the strongest independent predictor of NIHSS 0 at day 5/discharge (OR 3.26, 95% CI 2.12–5.01), stronger than baseline stroke severity.
  • Within the successful recanalization stratum, outcomes were similar between tenecteplase and standard care arms — supporting that recanalization, not the treatment per se, drove outcomes.
  • Modern medical management (dual antiplatelet therapy) achieved meaningful spontaneous recanalization (10.8% in the control arm at 4–8 hours), likely narrowing the treatment-level effect of tenecteplase seen in the parent TEMPO-2 trial.

Design

Study Type: Prespecified secondary observational cohort analysis of a randomized controlled trial (TEMPO-2)

Randomization: 1

Blinding: PROBE — open-label with blinded end-point assessment; imaging core lab blinded to treatment and outcome

Enrollment Period: TEMPO-2 parent trial enrollment (published 2024); analysis published June 2026

Follow-up Duration: 90 days (mRS up to 120 days)

Centers: 48

Countries: Australia, Austria, Brazil, Canada, Finland, Ireland, New Zealand, Singapore, Spain, United Kingdom

Sample Size: 517

Analysis: Modified intention-to-treat; adjusted analyses via Poisson regression with log link and robust SE for risk ratios; multivariable logistic regression for predictors; adjusted for age, sex, baseline NIHSS score, and onset-to-randomization time


Inclusion Criteria

  • Adults enrolled in TEMPO-2 with acute minor ischemic stroke
  • Baseline NIHSS score 0 to 5
  • Intracranial arterial occlusion on baseline CT angiography
  • Within 12 hours of symptom onset
  • Prestroke modified Rankin Scale score ≤2
  • Follow-up CT angiography performed 4 to 8 hours after randomization
  • Randomized to intravenous tenecteplase 0.25 mg/kg or nonthrombolytic standard of care

Exclusion Criteria

  • Prestroke modified Rankin Scale score >2
  • Enrollment based on CT perfusion–defined deficit without visible baseline occlusion (no follow-up CTA per protocol)
  • No follow-up vascular imaging performed (n=368 excluded from this analysis for this reason)
  • Standard TEMPO-2 exclusions (contraindications to tenecteplase, disabling deficits requiring standard-dose IV thrombolysis, planned endovascular therapy)

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicSuccessful Recanalization (n=178)Unsuccessful Recanalization (n=336)
Median Age (IQR), y70 (60–80)71 (61–80)
Sex — Female45.5%39.3%
Race — White86.0%82.7%
Vertebrobasilar Occlusion3.4%9.8%
Treatment — Tenecteplase68.5%39.9%
Treatment — Standard of Care31.5%60.1%

Arms

FieldSuccessful recanalization (rAOL ≥2b/3 on 4–8h CTA)Control
InterventionAnalytic cohort with early recanalization; includes both tenecteplase (n=122) and standard of care (n=56) patientsAnalytic cohort without early recanalization; includes both tenecteplase (n=134) and standard of care (n=202) patients
Duration90-day follow-up90-day follow-up

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Return to baseline neurological function on modified Rankin Scale at 90 days (sliding dichotomy: mRS 0–1 if premorbid mRS 0–1; mRS 0–2 if premorbid mRS 2)Primary223/336 (66.4%) unsuccessful recanalization143/178 (80.3%) successful recanalization8<0.05
mRS 0–1 at 90 daysSecondary215/336 (64.2%)137/178 (77.0%)adjusted RR 1.2095% CI 1.07–1.34
EQ-5D-5L indexSecondary0.790.86adjusted difference 0.0695% CI 0.02–0.11
EQ-5D-5L VASSecondary71.8777.58adjusted difference 5.4895% CI 1.48–9.48
Predictor of recanalization — tenecteplase (vs control)SecondaryreferenceOR 3.483.4895% CI 2.33–5.18
Predictor of NIHSS 0 at day 5/discharge — successful recanalizationSecondaryreferenceOR 3.263.2695% CI 2.12–5.01
Rate of successful recanalization by armSecondary56/517 (10.8%) standard of care122/517 (23.6%) tenecteplaseadjusted OR 3.48highly significant
Serious Adverse EventAdverse15.2% (successful) vs 28.0% (unsuccessful); adjusted RR 0.54 (95% CI 0.37–0.80)
Stroke Progression (NIHSS worsening ≥2)Adverse2.8% vs 13.1%; adjusted RR 0.21 (95% CI 0.08–0.52)
Stroke RecurrenceAdverse2.8% vs 4.2%; adjusted RR 0.69 (95% CI 0.26–1.86)
Rescue Endovascular TherapyAdversenumerically lower in successful recanalization group, not statistically significant
MortalityAdversenumerically lower in successful recanalization group, not statistically significant
Symptomatic Intracranial HemorrhageAdverselow and comparable between groups; no signal of increased sICH with successful recanalization

Subgroup Analysis

Within the successful recanalization stratum, functional and safety outcomes were similar between tenecteplase and standard-of-care arms (adjusted RR 0.94 for primary outcome, 95% CI 0.82–1.08); same held in the unsuccessful recanalization stratum (adjusted RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.78–1.07). No heterogeneity of treatment effect by age, sex, NIHSS, onset-to-treatment time, occlusion site, or LVO status.


Criticisms

  • Post hoc, hypothesis-generating subgroup analysis of a neutral parent trial; not powered to detect small differences.
  • ≈30% of patients with baseline occlusion did not undergo follow-up CTA (largely for logistical reasons — off-hours imaging, transfers), potentially introducing selection bias.
  • Recanalization was measured at a single time point (4–8 hours); late spontaneous recanalization (likely facilitated by dual antiplatelet therapy) in the control arm may attenuate observed differences and cannot be captured.
  • Multiple comparisons increase the risk of type I error; some associations may be due to chance.
  • Did not evaluate other biological modifiers of outcome such as clot burden, collateral status, ischemia severity, or final infarct volume.
  • mRS ceiling effects in this low-NIHSS population may mask small but clinically meaningful functional differences.

Funding

TEMPO-2 parent trial was investigator-initiated; funded by Canadian Institutes of Health Research and Alberta Innovates; tenecteplase supplied by Boehringer Ingelheim (see parent TEMPO-2 publication for full disclosures).

Based on: TEMPO-2 Recanalization (Stroke, 2026)

Authors: Nishita Singh, Daniel Strbian, Shabnam Vatanpour, ..., Shelagh B. Coutts et al.

Citation: Stroke. Published online June 19, 2026. doi:10.1161/STROKEAHA.125.052872

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