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ULTRA

Update of the ULtra-early TRranexamic Acid after Subarachnoid Hemorrhage (ULTRA) trial: statistical analysis plan

Year of Publication: 2020

Authors: René Post, Menno R. Germans, Bert A. Coert, ..., W. Peter Vandertop and Dagmar Verbaan

Journal: Trials

Citation: Post et al. Trials (2020) 21:199. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-020-4118-5

Link: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-020-4118-5

PDF: https://trialsjournal.biomedcentral.com/...-020-4118-5.pdf


Clinical Question

Does ultraearly and short-term tranexamic acid (TXA) treatment in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) improve clinical outcome at 6 months?

Bottom Line

The ULTRA trial is designed to investigate if ultraearly and short-term (≤24h) tranexamic acid treatment in aneurysmal SAH patients improves clinical outcome at 6 months by reducing recurrent bleeding without increasing delayed cerebral ischemia. The detailed statistical analysis plan outlines the primary outcome of good functional status (mRS 0-3) and various secondary and safety outcomes.

Major Points

  • Recurrent bleeding from an intracranial aneurysm after SAH is associated with unfavorable outcome and occurs in up to one in five patients, most often within the first 6 hours after the primary hemorrhage.
  • Tranexamic acid (TXA) reduces the risk of recurrent bleeding, and administering it for a short duration (<24 hours) may not increase the risk of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI).
  • The ULTRA trial is a multicenter, prospective, randomized, open, blinded endpoint, parallel-group trial enrolling patients in the Netherlands.
  • Participants are randomized 1:1 to standard care or to receive TXA at a loading dose of 1 g, immediately followed by 1 g every 8 hours for a maximum of 24 hours, in addition to standard care, as soon as SAH is diagnosed.
  • TXA administration is stopped immediately prior to aneurysm treatment (coil or clip).
  • The primary outcome is the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 6 months after SAH, dichotomized into good (mRS 0-3) and poor (mRS 4-6) outcomes, assessed blind to treatment allocation.
  • The study aims to increase the proportion of patients with a good outcome from 69% (standard care) to 77.1% (TXA), requiring a total sample size of 950 patients.
  • Safety outcomes include recurrent bleeding, DCI, hydrocephalus, per-procedural complications, and other complications such as infections.

Design

Study Type: Multicenter, prospective, randomized, open-label, blinded-endpoint, parallel-group trial (Phase III)

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Blinded outcome assessment (research nurse blinded to treatment allocation for mRS score).

Enrollment Period: Started July 2013, with recruitment of all 955 patients completed (date not specified, but SAP published in 2020).

Follow-up Duration: 6 months

Centers: 8 tertiary care centers and 16 referral centers

Countries: Netherlands

Sample Size: 950

Analysis: Primary outcome analyzed according to ITT principle. Also analyzed in AT and PP populations for robustness. Secondary and safety outcomes analyzed in ITT (some also in AT and PP). Continuous, normally distributed variables as means±SD; non-normally distributed and ordinal as medians (25th-75th percentiles); categorical as counts and percentages. Multivariable logistic regression for primary outcome, adjusting for stratification variable and baseline imbalances. Sensitivity analyses for different mRS cutoffs, ordinal mRS, and worst-case scenario for missing data (if >10% loss to follow-up). IBM SPSS Statistics version 25 software.


Inclusion Criteria

  • Adult patients with SAH, diagnosed by noncontrast computed tomography (CT) within 24 hours after the last hemorrhage.

Exclusion Criteria

  • No proficiency of the Dutch or English language (added during trial)
  • Treatment for pulmonary embolism (added during trial)
  • Severe liver failure (removed from exclusion criteria during trial)

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicControlActive
Age, yr, mean (SD)NN.N (NN.N)NN.N (NN.N)
Female sex, n (%)NNN (X)NNN (X)
WFNS grade I, n (%)N (X)N (X)
WFNS grade II, n (%)N (X)N (X)
WFNS grade III, n (%)N (X)N (X)
WFNS grade IV, n (%)N (X)N (X)
WFNS grade V, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Fisher grade II, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Fisher grade III, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Fisher grade IV, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Medication prior to SAH - Platelet inhibitor, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Medication prior to SAH - Anticoagulation, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Medication prior to SAH - Antihypertensive, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Medication prior to SAH - None, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Location of aneurysm - Anterior circulation, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Location of aneurysm - Posterior circulation, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Location of aneurysm - None, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Treatment modality - Endovascular, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Treatment modality - Clipping, n (%)N (X)N (X)
Treatment modality - None, n (%)N (X)N (X)

Arms

FieldTXA groupControl
InterventionUltraearly TXA treatment: Tranexamic acid (TXA) at a loading dose of 1 g, immediately followed by 1 g every 8 hours for a maximum of 24 hours, in addition to standard care, as soon as SAH is diagnosed. TXA administration is stopped immediately prior to treatment (coil or clip) of the causative aneurysm.Standard care.
DurationMaximum 24 hours (TXA administration); 6 months (follow-up)6 months (follow-up)

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Clinical outcome at 6 months measured with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score, dichotomized into good (mRS 0-3) and poor (mRS 4-6) outcomes, assessed blind to treatment allocation.PrimaryXX (XX%) (proportion good outcome)XX (XX%) (proportion good outcome)
mRS score dichotomized into good (mRS 0-2) and poor (mRS 3-6) outcomesSecondaryNN (X %)NN (X %)XXX (X.XX-X.XX)
Ordinal mRS score at 6 monthsSecondaryNN (X %)NN (X %)XXX (X.XX-XXX)
Case fatality at 30 daysSecondaryXXXXXX (XX-XX)
Case fatality at 6 monthsSecondaryXXXXXX (XX-XX)
Causes of poor outcomeSecondary

Criticisms

  • The study protocol describes the statistical analysis plan (SAP) rather than presenting trial results, so actual criticisms of the trial's findings are not available yet.
  • The use of an open-label design for TXA administration may modulate possible treatment effects and introduce bias, although outcome assessment is blinded[cite: 3461].
  • The informed consent procedure is delayed due to emergency circumstances, which is common in SAH trials but might impact patient autonomy[cite: 3430].

Subgroup Analysis

Not specified in the provided statistical analysis plan. The primary analysis will adjust for stratification variable (treatment center) and clinically relevant baseline imbalances if necessary.


Funding

Fonds Ohra (project number 1202-031) [cite: 3562]

Based on: ULTRA (Trials, 2020)

Authors: René Post, Menno R. Germans, Bert A. Coert, ..., W. Peter Vandertop and Dagmar Verbaan

Citation: Post et al. Trials (2020) 21:199. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-020-4118-5

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