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VISP

Vitamin Intervention for Stroke Prevention Trial: An Efficacy Analysis

Year of Publication: 2005

Authors: J. David Spence, MD, FRCPC, ..., DrPH

Journal: Stroke

Citation: Stroke. 2005;36:2404-2409.

Link: http://ahajournals.org/lookup/suppl/doi:...185929.38534.f3

PDF: https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1...185929.38534.f3


Clinical Question

In patients with nondisabling stroke, does high-dose vitamin therapy (folate, B6, B12) reduce recurrent vascular events, particularly in a subgroup hypothesized to benefit most?

Bottom Line

While the original VISP trial showed no overall efficacy, an efficacy analysis of a prespecified subgroup (excluding patients with very high/low B12 and significant renal impairment) revealed a 21% reduction in the risk of combined ischemic stroke, coronary disease, or death in the high-dose vitamin group. This suggests B12 status is a key determinant of response to vitamin therapy in the era of folate fortification, potentially requiring higher B12 doses for some patients.

Major Points

  • The original VISP trial was stopped due to futility, showing a very small difference in outcomes between high-dose and low-dose vitamin therapy.
  • This efficacy analysis focused on a subgroup of 2155 patients (mean age 66±10.7 years) who were most likely to benefit, defined by GFR ≥46.18 and serum B12 levels between 250 and 637 pmol/L (25th to 95th percentiles).
  • For the combined end point of ischemic stroke, coronary disease, or death, there was a 21% reduction in risk in the high-dose group compared with the low-dose group (unadjusted P=0.049; adjusted P=0.056).
  • Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with baseline B12 at or above the median (322 pmol/L) randomized to high-dose vitamin had the best overall outcome, while those with B12 less than the median assigned to low-dose had the worst (P=0.02 for combined stroke, death, and coronary events; P=0.03 for stroke and coronary events).
  • Plasma total homocysteine (tHcy) significantly rises as serum B12 falls, from levels above the median (322 pmol/L), suggesting B12 levels sufficient to maintain low tHcy are higher than usually considered normal.
  • The study highlights that in the era of folate fortification, B12 plays a key role in vitamin therapy for total homocysteine, and higher doses may be needed for some patients.

Design

Study Type: Randomized, double-blind trial (efficacy analysis of a subgroup)

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Double-blind

Enrollment Period: September 1996 to May 2003 (original trial)

Centers: 56

Countries: United States, Canada, Scotland

Sample Size: 3680

Analysis: Kaplan-Meier method for unadjusted survival probabilities and log-rank tests. Cox proportional hazard regression model for adjusted analysis (age, sex, blood pressure, smoking, and B12 level). SAS software version 8. 2-sided hypotheses. No adjustment for multiple testing for subgroup analyses.


Inclusion Criteria

  • Adults with nondisabling cerebral infarction.

Exclusion Criteria

  • For this subgroup analysis: patients with baseline B12 levels <250 pmol/L (25th percentile) or >637 pmol/L (95th percentile).
  • Patients with significant renal impairment (glomerular filtration rate <46.18; 10th percentile).
  • Patients with severe renal failure requiring dialysis (original trial exclusion).

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicControlActive
Age, y65.8 (10.7)65.6 (10.6)
Women36.6%38.2%
Race, black16.5%15.3%
Total cholesterol, mg/dL203.0 (46.0)202.1 (45.9)
HDL cholesterol, mg/dL45.9 (15.8)45.7 (15.2)
LDL cholesterol, mg/dL123.3 (40.4)124.0 (40.0)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg140.4 (19.1)140.3 (18.2)
Diastolic blood pressure, mm Hg77.9 (9.9)78.1 (10.1)
B12, pmol/L373.9 (90.5)371.1 (89.3)
tHcy at baseline, µmol/L12.6 (3.9)12.5 (4.0)
GFR, mL/min/1.73 m²77.9 (22.9)79.4 (41.0)
Folate, nmol/L26.9 (17.3)26.9 (17.8)
Smoking, ever66.0%67.9%
Present smoker15.6%19.0%

Arms

FieldHigh-dose vitamin therapyControl
InterventionBest medical/surgical management plus a daily multivitamin containing 2.5 mg folate, 25 mg B6, and 400 mcg B12. Also included Food and Drug Administration RDI of other vitamins.Best medical/surgical management plus a daily multivitamin containing 20 mcg folate, 200 mcg B6, and 6 mcg B12. Also included Food and Drug Administration RDI of other vitamins.
Duration

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Combined endpoint of ischemic stroke, coronary disease, or death.Primary0.790.049 (unadjusted); 0.056 (adjusted)
DeathSecondary0.790.23 (unadjusted); 0.28 (adjusted)
Coronary diseaseSecondary0.860.43 (unadjusted); 0.49 (adjusted)
StrokeSecondary0.920.60 (unadjusted); 0.56 (adjusted)
Combined stroke and coronarySecondary0.830.14 (unadjusted); 0.14 (adjusted)
Survival free of stroke and coronary event (by baseline B12 stratum and treatment group)Secondary0.03 (log-rank test comparing all 4 groups)
Survival free of combined stroke, death, and coronary events (by baseline B12 stratum and treatment group)Secondary0.02 (log-rank test comparing all 4 groups)

Criticisms

  • This is a post hoc subgroup analysis of a randomized trial that originally showed futility, and thus results must be interpreted with considerable caution. While the subgroup definition was based on a priori hypotheses and applied only once, the risk of selection bias remains inherent in such analyses.
  • The primary outcome was of borderline statistical significance (P=0.049 unadjusted; P=0.056 adjusted), which is a weak finding.
  • The study was conducted during the era of folate fortification in North America, which may have reduced the number of patients with high tHcy who might benefit most from supplementation.
  • The dose of B12 (400 mcg/day) used in the high-dose arm might have been too low for elderly patients with impaired absorption, as suggested by later studies recommending 1000 mcg/day for adequate absorption.
  • The subgroup analysis found a greater benefit in a subgroup that had lower baseline tHcy than the main study, which is somewhat counterintuitive if the primary mechanism is tHcy lowering.
  • The study found no significant relationship between the magnitude of tHcy reduction and subsequent cardiovascular events, which is surprising given the hypothesized mechanism.

Subgroup Analysis

The subgroup analysis was predefined based on GFR (above 10th percentile) and serum B12 levels (between 25th and 95th percentiles). Further analysis was done by dichotomizing participants at the median vitamin B12 level (322 pmol/L) to explore the impact of baseline B12 status.


Funding

National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS).

Based on: VISP (Stroke, 2005)

Authors: J. David Spence, MD, FRCPC, ..., DrPH

Citation: Stroke. 2005;36:2404-2409.

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