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EXSCEL

Effects of Once-Weekly Exenatide on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes

Year of Publication: 2017

Authors: Rury R. Holman, M. Angelyn Bethel, Robert J. Mentz, ..., for the EXSCEL Study Group

Journal: New England Journal of Medicine

Citation: N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–1239. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1612917

Link: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1612917

PDF: https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa1612917


Clinical Question

Does once-weekly exenatide reduce major cardiovascular events compared to placebo in patients with type 2 diabetes with or without established cardiovascular disease?

Bottom Line

Exenatide was noninferior but not superior to placebo for cardiovascular safety in patients with type 2 diabetes, and showed no statistically significant reduction in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).

Major Points

  • Large pragmatic RCT (N=14,752) assessing once-weekly exenatide vs. placebo in type 2 diabetes.
  • Median follow-up 3.2 years; 73% had prior cardiovascular disease.
  • Primary MACE outcome occurred in 11.4% (exenatide) vs. 12.2% (placebo); HR 0.91 (95% CI 0.83–1.00); P<0.001 for noninferiority, P=0.06 for superiority.
  • No significant difference in cardiovascular death, MI, stroke, or hospitalization for heart failure.
  • Exenatide showed modest reductions in HbA1c, weight, SBP, but increased heart rate.
  • Overall cancers similar (355 vs. 361); however more patients on exenatide had thyroid papillary carcinomas (10 vs. 4). Pancreatitis, pancreatic cancer, medullary thyroid carcinoma, and severe hypoglycemia did not differ significantly.

Design

Study Type: Multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trial

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Double-blind

Enrollment Period: June 2010 – September 2015

Follow-up Duration: Median 3.2 years (up to 6.8 years)

Centers: 687

Countries: 35 countries including USA, UK, India, China, Australia, Europe, Latin America

Sample Size: 14752

Analysis: Intention-to-treat and per-protocol; Cox regression stratified by CV disease history


Inclusion Criteria

  • Adults with type 2 diabetes
  • HbA1c 6.5–10.0%
  • ± history of major cardiovascular disease
  • Allowed up to 3 oral agents or insulin ± 2 oral agents

Exclusion Criteria

  • ≥2 severe hypoglycemia episodes in past year
  • End-stage kidney disease or eGFR <30 ml/min/1.73m²
  • Personal/family history of medullary thyroid carcinoma or MEN2
  • Baseline calcitonin level >40 ng/L
  • Prior GLP-1 receptor agonist use

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicComorbiditiesQualifying Event
Diabetes100
Heart Failure16.2
Prior CV disease73.1

Arms

FieldExenatideControl
InterventionExtended-release exenatide 2 mg SC weeklyMatching placebo SC weekly
DurationMedian 2.4 yearsMedian 2.3 years

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
First occurrence of MACE (CV death, nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke)Primary12.2% (905/7396)11.4% (839/7356)0.910.06 (superiority); <0.001 (noninferiority)
Death from any cause | 95% CI: 0.77–0.97Secondary7.9% (584/7396)6.9% (507/7356)0.86Not significant per hierarchical testing
Death from cardiovascular causes | 95% CI: 0.76–1.02Secondary5.2% (383/7396)4.6% (340/7356)0.88NS
Fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction | 95% CI: 0.85–1.10Secondary6.7% (493/7396)6.6% (483/7356)0.97NS
Fatal or nonfatal stroke | 95% CI: 0.70–1.03Secondary2.9% (218/7396)2.5% (187/7356)0.85NR
Hospitalization for heart failure | 95% CI: 0.78–1.13Secondary3.1% (231/7396)3.0% (219/7356)0.94NS
Hospitalization for acute coronary syndrome | 95% CI: 0.94–1.18Secondary7.7% (570/7396)8.2% (602/7356)1.05NS
_Safety PopulationAdverseExenatide N=7344; Placebo N=7372
Acute pancreatitisAdverse22 (0.3%)26 (0.4%)
Pancreatic cancerAdverse16 (0.2%)15 (0.2%)
Medullary thyroid carcinomaAdverse1 (<0.1%)2 (<0.1%)
Thyroid papillary carcinomaAdverse410
Adjudicated cancers (any)Adverse361 (4.9%)355 (4.8%)
Severe hypoglycemia (patients with event)Adverse219 (3.0%)247 (3.4%)RR 0.85 (0.67–1.08) recurrent-eventNS
Any serious adverse eventAdverse1222 (16.6%)1234 (16.8%)

Subgroup Analysis

No significant heterogeneity except by age <65 vs ≥65 (P=0.005); most subgroups showed consistent direction of effect


Criticisms

  • High premature discontinuation of trial regimen (mean time on regimen 76.0% exenatide vs 75.0% placebo), primarily driven by patient decision
  • Modest treatment effect on metabolic parameters
  • Placebo group had more use of other cardioprotective agents (SGLT-2, GLP-1RA)
  • Shorter exposure time and lower baseline HbA1c than LEADER/SUSTAIN-6

Funding

Amylin Pharmaceuticals (subsidiary of AstraZeneca)

Based on: EXSCEL (New England Journal of Medicine, 2017)

Authors: Rury R. Holman, M. Angelyn Bethel, Robert J. Mentz, ..., for the EXSCEL Study Group

Citation: N Engl J Med 2017;377:1228–1239. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1612917

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