AFFIRM
(2006)Objective
Natalizumab - To confirm the efficacy of natalizumab in relapsing multiple sclerosis and evaluate the safety of long-term treatment with this α4 integrin antagonist
Study Summary
• 68% reduction in annualized relapse rate at 1 year (0.26 vs 0.81, P<0.001)
• 83% reduction in new/enlarging T2 lesions and 92% reduction in gadolinium-enhancing lesions
Intervention
Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of intravenous natalizumab 300mg every 4 weeks versus placebo for up to 116 weeks in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis
Inclusion Criteria
Age 18-50 years, relapsing multiple sclerosis diagnosis, EDSS score 0-5.0, MRI lesions consistent with MS, at least one documented relapse within 12 months before study
Study Design
Arms: Natalizumab 300mg IV every 4 weeks (n=627) vs Placebo IV every 4 weeks (n=315)
Patients per Arm: 627 natalizumab, 315 placebo
Outcome
• Relapse rate: 0.26/year natalizumab vs 0.81/year placebo (68% reduction)
• MRI lesions: 83% reduction in T2 lesions, 92% reduction in Gd-enhancing lesions
Bottom Line
Natalizumab significantly reduced the risk of sustained progression of disability by 42% and the annualized relapse rate by 68% in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis, representing a major advancement in MS treatment efficacy compared to existing therapies.
Major Points
- First-in-class α4 integrin antagonist that blocks lymphocyte migration across blood-brain barrier
- Dramatic 42% reduction in sustained disability progression over 2 years (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.43-0.77)
- 68% reduction in annualized relapse rate at 1 year (0.26 vs 0.81 relapses/year)
- Unprecedented MRI improvements: 83% reduction in new/enlarging T2 lesions, 92% reduction in gadolinium-enhancing lesions
- Safety profile acceptable as monotherapy over 2 years, with fatigue and allergic reactions more common
- 9% of patients developed persistent antibodies with loss of efficacy
Study Design
- Study Type
- Multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial
- Randomization
- Yes
- Blinding
- Double-blind with identical infusion procedures
- Sample Size
- 942
- Follow-up
- Up to 116 weeks (approximately 2.25 years)
- Centers
- 99
- Countries
- Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand
Primary Outcome
Definition: Sustained progression of disability (≥1.0 point EDSS increase from baseline ≥1.0 or ≥1.5 point increase from baseline 0, sustained for 12 weeks)
| Control | Intervention | HR/OR | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29% cumulative probability of progression | 17% cumulative probability of progression | 0.58 (0.43-0.77) | <0.001 |
Limitations & Criticisms
- Study population limited to ages 18-50, excluding older MS patients
- Excluded patients with prior exposure to disease-modifying therapies >6 months
- 2:1 randomization ratio may have introduced imbalance in statistical power
- Safety evaluation limited to 2 years - longer-term safety unknown at time of publication
- 9% dropout rate overall, with some patients discontinuing due to adverse events
- Development of neutralizing antibodies in 6% of patients with loss of efficacy
- Study was suspended in 2005 due to PML cases discovered in combination therapy trials
Citation
N Engl J Med 2006;354:899-910