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AFFIRM

A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial of Natalizumab for Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis

Year of Publication: 2006

Authors: Chris H. Polman, Paul W. O'Connor, Eva Havrdova, ..., Alfred W. Sandrock

Journal: New England Journal of Medicine

Citation: N Engl J Med 2006;354:899-910

PDF: https://www.researchgate.net/publication...tiple_sclerosis


Clinical Question

Does natalizumab, an α4 integrin antagonist, reduce disability progression and relapse rate in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis?

Bottom Line

Natalizumab significantly reduced the risk of sustained progression of disability by 42% and the annualized relapse rate by 68% in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis, representing a major advancement in MS treatment efficacy compared to existing therapies.

Major Points

  • First-in-class α4 integrin antagonist that blocks lymphocyte migration across blood-brain barrier
  • Dramatic 42% reduction in sustained disability progression over 2 years (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.43-0.77)
  • 68% reduction in annualized relapse rate at 1 year (0.26 vs 0.81 relapses/year)
  • Unprecedented MRI improvements: 83% reduction in new/enlarging T2 lesions, 92% reduction in gadolinium-enhancing lesions
  • Safety profile acceptable as monotherapy over 2 years, with fatigue and allergic reactions more common
  • 9% of patients developed persistent antibodies with loss of efficacy

Design

Study Type: Multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 trial

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Double-blind with identical infusion procedures

Enrollment Period: November 6, 2001 to study completion

Follow-up Duration: Up to 116 weeks (approximately 2.25 years)

Centers: 99

Countries: Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand

Sample Size: 942

Analysis: Intention-to-treat analysis using Cox proportional-hazards model for disability progression, Poisson regression for relapse rate, logistic regression for secondary endpoints


Inclusion Criteria

  • Age 18-50 years
  • Diagnosis of relapsing multiple sclerosis per McDonald criteria
  • EDSS score 0-5.0
  • MRI showing lesions consistent with multiple sclerosis
  • At least one medically documented relapse within 12 months before study
  • Written informed consent

Exclusion Criteria

  • Primary progressive, secondary progressive, or progressive relapsing MS
  • Relapse within 50 days before first study drug dose
  • Treatment with cyclophosphamide or mitoxantrone within previous year
  • Treatment with interferon beta, glatiramer acetate, cyclosporine, azathioprine, methotrexate, or IVIG within previous 6 months
  • Prior treatment with interferon beta or glatiramer acetate for >6 months

Baseline Characteristics

CharacteristicControlActive
Mean age36.7 years35.6 years
Female67%72%
Mean disease duration6.0 years5.0 years
Mean EDSS2.32.3
Mean relapses in past year1.501.53
Gadolinium-enhancing lesions present46%51%

Arms

FieldNatalizumabControl
InterventionIntravenous natalizumab 300 mg every 4 weeksIntravenous placebo every 4 weeks
DurationUp to 116 weeksUp to 116 weeks

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Sustained progression of disability (≥1.0 point EDSS increase from baseline ≥1.0 or ≥1.5 point increase from baseline 0, sustained for 12 weeks)Primary29% cumulative probability of progression17% cumulative probability of progression0.58<0.001
Annualized relapse rate at 1 yearSecondary0.81 relapses per year0.26 relapses per year68% relative reduction<0.001
New or enlarging T2 lesions over 2 yearsSecondaryMean 11.0 lesionsMean 1.9 lesions83% reduction<0.001
Gadolinium-enhancing lesions at 2 yearsSecondaryMean 1.2 lesionsMean 0.1 lesions92% reduction<0.001
Relapse-free patients at 2 yearsSecondary41%67%<0.001
FatigueAdverse21%27%0.048
Allergic reactionAdverse4%9%0.012
Hypersensitivity reactionsAdverse0%4% (25 patients)Not specified
Serious hypersensitivityAdverse0%1% (8 patients)Not specified

Subgroup Analysis

Sensitivity analysis for 24-week sustained progression showed 54% risk reduction (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.33-0.64). Results consistent across all sensitivity analyses and secondary endpoints.


Criticisms

  • Study population limited to ages 18-50, excluding older MS patients
  • Excluded patients with prior exposure to disease-modifying therapies >6 months
  • 2:1 randomization ratio may have introduced imbalance in statistical power
  • Safety evaluation limited to 2 years - longer-term safety unknown at time of publication
  • 9% dropout rate overall, with some patients discontinuing due to adverse events
  • Development of neutralizing antibodies in 6% of patients with loss of efficacy
  • Study was suspended in 2005 due to PML cases discovered in combination therapy trials

Funding

Supported by Biogen Idec and Elan Pharmaceuticals. Data were analyzed by Biogen Idec and Elan Pharmaceuticals.

Based on: AFFIRM (New England Journal of Medicine, 2006)

Authors: Chris H. Polman, Paul W. O'Connor, Eva Havrdova, ..., Alfred W. Sandrock

Citation: N Engl J Med 2006;354:899-910

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