PreCISe
(2009)Objective
To assess the efficacy of early treatment with glatiramer acetate in delaying conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS) in patients presenting with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS)
Study Summary
• Time to 25% conversion prolonged by 115% (722 vs 336 days)
• 58% reduction in cumulative new T2 lesions at last observation
Intervention
Glatiramer acetate 20mg SC daily vs matching placebo for up to 36 months or until conversion to CDMS
Inclusion Criteria
Age 18-45 years, unifocal CIS within 90 days, ≥2 T2 brain lesions ≥6mm on MRI, EDSS 0-6.5
Study Design
Arms: Glatiramer acetate 20mg SC daily vs Placebo
Patients per Arm: 243 vs 238
Outcome
• NNT = 5.49 to prevent one conversion
• New T2 lesions reduced by 58% (RR 0.42, p<0.0001)
Bottom Line
Early treatment with glatiramer acetate significantly reduced the risk of conversion to clinically definite MS by 45% (HR 0.55, p=0.0005) and prolonged time to conversion by 115%. The drug also significantly reduced MRI disease activity. The trial was stopped early at interim analysis due to demonstrated efficacy.
Major Points
- Glatiramer acetate reduced risk of conversion to CDMS by 45% (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.40-0.77, p=0.0005)
- Time to 25% conversion prolonged from 336 days (placebo) to 722 days (glatiramer acetate) - 115% improvement
- 24.7% of glatiramer acetate patients vs 42.9% of placebo patients converted to CDMS (OR 0.41, p<0.0001)
- Number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one conversion = 5.49
- Cumulative new T2 lesions reduced by 58% (RR 0.42, p<0.0001) at last observed value
- Cumulative GdE lesions reduced by 60% (RR 0.40, p<0.0001)
- T1 hypointense lesions reduced by 58% (RR 0.42, p<0.0001)
- No significant effect on brain atrophy (pseudoatrophy effect may have confounded results)
- Trial stopped early at preplanned interim analysis (81% of 3-year exposure) due to demonstrated efficacy
- Safety profile consistent with known glatiramer acetate profile; injection-site reactions most common AE
Study Design
- Study Type
- Phase 3, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trial
- Randomization
- Yes
- Blinding
- Double-blind; patients and all personnel masked to treatment assignment; treating and examining neurologists masked to MRI results; study drugs identical in appearance, shape, color, and smell
- Sample Size
- 481
- Follow-up
- Up to 36 months or until conversion to CDMS; mean exposure at interim analysis 2.32 years (SD 0.65)
- Centers
- 80
- Countries
- USA, Argentina, Australia, New Zealand, Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Norway, Romania, Spain, Sweden, UK
Primary Outcome
Definition: Time to conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS) during the placebo-controlled phase. CDMS defined by second relapse: appearance of new or reappearance of previous neurological abnormalities lasting ≥48 hours, preceded by stable/improving state for ≥30 days, with objective neurological changes (EDSS increase ≥0.5 or FS increase ≥1 grade in ≥2 systems or ≥2 grades in 1 system)
| Control | Intervention | HR/OR | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102/238 (42.9%) converted; time to 25% conversion = 336 days | 60/243 (24.7%) converted; time to 25% conversion = 722 days | 0.55 (0.40-0.77) | 0.0005 |
Limitations & Criticisms
- Trial stopped early at interim analysis - may overestimate treatment effect
- Only unifocal CIS patients included; results may not generalize to multifocal presentations
- Eligibility Evaluation Committee review process may have selected more homogeneous population than clinical practice
- No effect on brain atrophy detected - may be due to pseudoatrophy from inflammation suppression, exposure bias, or underpowering
- MRI endpoints biased by differential exposure time (glatiramer acetate patients had longer exposure due to delayed conversion)
- Relapse definition (48h duration) more stringent than standard clinical definition (24h)
- Patient/investigator masking not formally assessed
- 138/619 (22%) screened patients excluded by Eligibility Evaluation Committee - potential selection bias
- Higher discontinuation rate in glatiramer acetate group due to adverse events (5.8% vs 1.7%, p=0.0184)
- Post-hoc subgroup analyses not corrected for multiplicity - results should be interpreted cautiously
- No active comparator arm - cannot directly compare to interferon beta treatments
- Open-label extension after conversion limits long-term blinded assessment
Citation
Lancet 2009; 374: 1503-11