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PreCISe

Effect of glatiramer acetate on conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis in patients with clinically isolated syndrome (PreCISe study): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial

Year of Publication: 2009

Authors: G Comi, V Martinelli, M Rodegher, ..., for the PreCISe study group

Journal: The Lancet

Citation: Lancet 2009; 374: 1503-11

Link: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(09)61259-9


Clinical Question

Does early treatment with glatiramer acetate delay conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis in patients presenting with clinically isolated syndrome and brain lesions on MRI?

Bottom Line

Early treatment with glatiramer acetate significantly reduced the risk of conversion to clinically definite MS by 45% (HR 0.55, p=0.0005) and prolonged time to conversion by 115%. The drug also significantly reduced MRI disease activity. The trial was stopped early at interim analysis due to demonstrated efficacy.

Major Points

  • Glatiramer acetate reduced risk of conversion to CDMS by 45% (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.40-0.77, p=0.0005)
  • Time to 25% conversion prolonged from 336 days (placebo) to 722 days (glatiramer acetate) - 115% improvement
  • 24.7% of glatiramer acetate patients vs 42.9% of placebo patients converted to CDMS (OR 0.41, p<0.0001)
  • Number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one conversion = 5.49
  • Cumulative new T2 lesions reduced by 58% (RR 0.42, p<0.0001) at last observed value
  • Cumulative GdE lesions reduced by 60% (RR 0.40, p<0.0001)
  • T1 hypointense lesions reduced by 58% (RR 0.42, p<0.0001)
  • No significant effect on brain atrophy (pseudoatrophy effect may have confounded results)
  • Trial stopped early at preplanned interim analysis (81% of 3-year exposure) due to demonstrated efficacy
  • Safety profile consistent with known glatiramer acetate profile; injection-site reactions most common AE

Design

Study Type: Phase 3, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trial

Randomization: 1

Blinding: Double-blind; patients and all personnel masked to treatment assignment; treating and examining neurologists masked to MRI results; study drugs identical in appearance, shape, color, and smell

Enrollment Period: January 2004 to January 2006

Follow-up Duration: Up to 36 months or until conversion to CDMS; mean exposure at interim analysis 2.32 years (SD 0.65)

Centers: 80

Countries: USA, Argentina, Australia, New Zealand, Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Norway, Romania, Spain, Sweden, UK

Sample Size: 481

Analysis: Intention-to-treat; preplanned interim analysis at 81% of 3-year exposure; Cox proportional hazards model for primary endpoint; Kaplan-Meier curves; hierarchical approach for type-1 error control (α=0.05); interim analysis significance threshold p≤0.0244; confirmatory analyses in completers and per-protocol cohorts


Inclusion Criteria

  • Age 18-45 years inclusive
  • One unifocal neurological event (clinically isolated syndrome)
  • Positive brain MRI at screening: ≥2 cerebral T2 lesions ≥6mm in diameter (present on two consecutive 3mm slices)
  • Enrolled within 90 days after onset of first clinical attack
  • Unifocal presentation: signs/symptoms attributable to single lesion in cerebrum, infratentorial/supratentorial, spinal cord, or optic nerve

Exclusion Criteria

  • Multifocal clinical presentation
  • Diseases other than MS responsible for clinical or MRI presentation
  • Use of experimental or investigational drugs
  • Any use of beta interferon or chronic corticosteroids within 6 months of screening
  • Relapse between screening and baseline visits
  • Pregnancy or breastfeeding
  • Known sensitivity to mannitol or gadolinium

Arms

FieldGlatiramer acetateControl
InterventionGlatiramer acetate (Copaxone) 20mg in 1mL solution with 40mg mannitol, administered as daily subcutaneous injection via single-use prefilled syringeMatching placebo, administered as daily subcutaneous injection; identical appearance, shape, color, and smell to active drug
DurationUp to 36 months or until conversion to CDMS; patients converting to CDMS transferred to open-label glatiramer acetateUp to 36 months or until conversion to CDMS; patients converting to CDMS transferred to open-label glatiramer acetate

Outcomes

OutcomeTypeControlInterventionHR / OR / RRP-value
Time to conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS) during the placebo-controlled phase. CDMS defined by second relapse: appearance of new or reappearance of previous neurological abnormalities lasting ≥48 hours, preceded by stable/improving state for ≥30 days, with objective neurological changes (EDSS increase ≥0.5 or FS increase ≥1 grade in ≥2 systems or ≥2 grades in 1 system)Primary102/238 (42.9%) converted; time to 25% conversion = 336 days60/243 (24.7%) converted; time to 25% conversion = 722 days0.550.0005
Number of new T2 lesions at last observed value (LOV)Secondary1.8 (adjusted mean)0.7 (adjusted mean)RR 0.42 (95% CI 0.29-0.61)<0.0001
T2 lesion volume at LOV (baseline-adjusted)SecondaryHigherLower (geometric means ratio 0.75, 95% CI 0.64-0.87)0.0002
Brain atrophy (% change from baseline to LOV in brain volume)Secondary-0.38%-0.33%Not significant
Proportion converting to CDMSSecondary42.9%24.7%OR 0.41 (95% CI 0.28-0.62)<0.0001
Cumulative new T2 lesions up to LOV (exposure-adjusted)SecondaryHigherLowerRR 0.47 (95% CI 0.37-0.61)<0.0001
Cumulative GdE lesions up to LOVSecondaryHigherLowerRR 0.40 (95% CI 0.30-0.55)<0.0001
Cumulative T1 hypointense lesions up to LOVSecondary3.61.7RR 0.42 (95% CI 0.31-0.56)<0.0001
Relapse-free at 48 weeksSecondary~66% (from figure)~89% (from figure)
Cumulative new T2 lesions at 12 months (non-converters only)Secondary4.23.0RR 0.57 (95% CI 0.45-0.72)<0.0001
Cumulative new T2 lesions at 24 months (non-converters only)Secondary9.86.1RR 0.48 (95% CI 0.38-0.61)<0.0001
Any adverse eventAdverseNot specified as %Not specified as %
Injection-site reactionsAdverse56/238 (24%)135/243 (56%)
Immediate post-injection reactionsAdverse12/238 (5%)47/243 (19%)
Serious adverse eventsAdverse19/238 (8%)11/243 (5%)
Discontinuation due to AEAdverse4/238 (1.7%)14/243 (5.8%)0.0184
DeathAdverse01 (suicide on day 50, unrelated history)
Injection-site necrosisAdverse02 (0.8%)
Injection-site atrophy/lipoatrophyAdverseNot reported10 (4%)
LymphadenopathyAdverse1 (0.4%)13 (5.3%)
VomitingAdverse5 (2.1%)14 (5.8%)
Influenza-like illnessAdverse2 (0.8%)10 (4.1%)
PruritusAdverse3 (1.3%)9 (3.7%)
ErythemaAdverse3 (1.3%)9 (3.7%)

Subgroup Analysis

Post-hoc subgroup analyses showed significant benefit of glatiramer acetate in most subgroups. Women showed 48% risk reduction (HR 0.52, p=0.0037) vs 43% in men (HR 0.57, p=0.0593). Younger patients (<30 years) showed 53% risk reduction (HR 0.47, p=0.0060) vs 37% in ≥30 years (HR 0.63, p=0.0531). Patients with ≥1 GdE lesions at baseline showed 71% risk reduction (HR 0.29, p<0.0001) vs 44% with no GdE lesions (HR 0.56, p=0.0423). Patients with ≥9 T2 lesions showed 58% risk reduction (HR 0.42, p<0.0001).


Criticisms

  • Trial stopped early at interim analysis - may overestimate treatment effect
  • Only unifocal CIS patients included; results may not generalize to multifocal presentations
  • Eligibility Evaluation Committee review process may have selected more homogeneous population than clinical practice
  • No effect on brain atrophy detected - may be due to pseudoatrophy from inflammation suppression, exposure bias, or underpowering
  • MRI endpoints biased by differential exposure time (glatiramer acetate patients had longer exposure due to delayed conversion)
  • Relapse definition (48h duration) more stringent than standard clinical definition (24h)
  • Patient/investigator masking not formally assessed
  • 138/619 (22%) screened patients excluded by Eligibility Evaluation Committee - potential selection bias
  • Higher discontinuation rate in glatiramer acetate group due to adverse events (5.8% vs 1.7%, p=0.0184)
  • Post-hoc subgroup analyses not corrected for multiplicity - results should be interpreted cautiously
  • No active comparator arm - cannot directly compare to interferon beta treatments
  • Open-label extension after conversion limits long-term blinded assessment

Funding

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Israel

Based on: PreCISe (The Lancet, 2009)

Authors: G Comi, V Martinelli, M Rodegher, ..., for the PreCISe study group

Citation: Lancet 2009; 374: 1503-11

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